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Request access
Shipping disruption intelligence

Know the odds.
Before the disruption.

Clarisig delivers probability scores for maritime disruption events — currently in closed beta. Built for logistics, trading, and risk teams evaluating early-stage disruption intelligence.

Request API access View accuracy report →
Shipping Predictions BETA
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Beta prediction model · Evaluated weekly Full report →
What Clarisig delivers

Not a sentiment score. Not a news feed.
A probability score built on traceable evidence.

01 / Signal
Live maritime intelligence
Global news and vessel tracking data monitored across 14 key maritime chokepoints and ports where available. Each signal classified by severity, direction, and location using our proprietary extraction engine.
02 / Score
Beta probabilities
Signals are weighted by severity and recency, applied against researched domain base rates. Output is a probability you can integrate directly into risk models — not a black-box index.
03 / Verify
Transparent evaluation
Predictions are locked before events resolve. We are currently building our beta accuracy record to provide a transparent history you can evaluate. The track record is the product.

Why not just
read the news?

News tells you what happened. Clarisig tells you the probability something will happen — evaluating how often similar signals have preceded real disruptions.

We lock our predictions publicly before events unfold to build a transparent, verifiable track record you can trust—not just another black-box risk rating.

  • Probability scores — not raw sentiment
  • Evidence-width indicator shows how much evidence backs the score
  • Weekly resolution cycle builds verifiable track record
  • API-first — integrates into your existing systems
  • Shipping vertical now — energy and commodities next
Feature
Clarisig
Others
Probability output
✓
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Transparent evaluation record
✓
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Evidence-width indicator
✓
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API-first delivery
✓
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Domain-specific signals
✓
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Brier score evaluation (Beta)
✓
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Unlock Granular Risk Data

Beta probability scores and signal vectors for 14 critical maritime chokepoints.

🔒
API License Required
Risk probability percentages and signal vectors are restricted to authenticated users.
Request Access
Strait of Hormuz--
Port of Rotterdam--
Suez Canal--
Panama Canal--
Port of Antwerp--
Red Sea / Bab-el-Mandeb--
Port of Hamburg--
Dover Strait--
Bosphorus Strait--
Singapore Strait--
Port of Shanghai--
Port of Felixstowe--
English Channel--
Malacca Strait--
Who uses Clarisig

Built for teams who make
decisions under uncertainty.

Logistics & freight
Operations & risk managers
Know the probability of disruption at key chokepoints before booking cargo routes. Feed scores into operational dashboards to trigger contingency planning early.
Trading & commodities
Risk analysts & traders
Maritime disruption moves commodity prices. Access calculated probability signals before events materialise — not after they've already moved the market.
Insurance & underwriting
Underwriters & actuaries
Evaluate marine cargo risk with a verifiable accuracy track record in active development — not analyst opinion or raw news sentiment.
What API access gives you

The accuracy page shows you the scores. The API lets you use them — programmatically, integrated into your own systems.

Programmatic integration
Pull any score directly into your risk dashboard, route planning software, or automated decision flow. Set threshold alerts — if Hormuz exceeds 60%, trigger your contingency workflow automatically.
Score history & trend data
See how a probability moved over the week — not just the current number. A score jumping from 15% to 97% in 48 hours tells a different story than one that held steady. Trend velocity is often more valuable than the score itself.
Full signal feed
Access every classified signal driving each score — headline, severity, direction, confidence. Build your own models on top of our signal data. The accuracy page shows one signal per location. The API gives you everything.
Webhook notifications PLANNED
Score-change notifications delivered to a webhook URL are planned for a future release — they are not available today. Current API access is pull-based (poll the live feed; no notification service is shipped yet).
Correlated risk across a voyage
A cargo route through the Red Sea touches Bab-el-Mandeb, Suez, and the English Channel. Query all three simultaneously and build a composite voyage risk score in your own system.
Historical resolved dataset PAID TIER
As predictions resolve weekly, the verified outcome dataset grows. Backtest your own risk models against a dataset with documented accuracy — giving you something no raw news feed can provide.

Ready to integrate
disruption intelligence?

Clarisig is in a paid design-partner beta. We onboard a small number of logistics, freight, and risk teams under a short monthly agreement in exchange for structured feedback. Exact probabilities and detailed evidence are customer-gated; the public view shows qualitative ratings only.

Request API access Book a demo call View accuracy report →
All probabilities are generated by an automated signal-weighted model in beta, and provided for informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. © 2026 Clarisig · hello@clarisig.com